As the halfway mark of a year marked by momentous elections passes, liberal democratic parties in Europe have largely been successful in holding back the rise of nationalist populism. However, the threat of the extreme right still looms, and the outcome of the upcoming US presidential election could have far-reaching consequences in Europe.
In Europe, mainstream parties have managed to keep illiberal forces at bay, but the alliance is fragile. Differences over issues such as Ukraine and the future of the EU have created divisions among right-wing parties. Additionally, challenges lie ahead for European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen as she works to enact legislation to tackle climate change while dealing with opposition from far-right factions.
In France, a recent general election saw voters tactically prevent the far-right National Rally party from gaining parliamentary dominance, leading to a deadlock in the National Assembly. The situation has weakened President Macron’s influence in the EU but has kept populists at bay for now.
Meanwhile, nationalist movements are gaining ground in parts of Europe, with the Netherlands forming its first far-right-led ruling coalition and Slovakia supporting Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán against EU sanctions.
The upcoming elections in Germany will provide further insights into the political landscape, while the US presidential election remains a potent force that could either embolden European nationalists or strengthen the liberal democratic firewall.
Ultimately, the success of mainstream parties in keeping the extreme right out of power will depend on their ability to address key issues such as cost of living and affordable housing that have driven voters towards populist movements. The outcome of these elections will shape the future of Europe and the world at large.
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