Vice President Kamala Harris has a chance to win Maine’s second congressional district, which was twice won by former President Donald Trump, according to a poll from the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. The poll found that Harris leads Trump by five percentage points, with 49% of likely voters supporting her compared to 44% for Trump. The race is described as tied and close, but the result is significant in a district that heavily favored Trump in the past two elections. The district awards one of Maine’s four Electoral College votes to the winner.
Overall, Harris leads Trump by 17 percentage points in Maine, with a wider margin in the state’s first congressional district. Maine voters also have a positive view of Harris’ running mate, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz. This positive polling for Harris is good news for Rep. Jared Golden, a Democrat representing Maine’s conservative second district. Golden, who faces a Trump-backed Republican in November, has run ahead of the Democratic presidential candidate in the past.
Maine is one of two states that award electoral votes by congressional district, with the second district’s vote going to Trump in the last two elections. There is discussion about potentially changing how Maine awards its electoral votes, with the state recently passing a law to join the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact. However, the agreement is not expected to go into effect this year due to the lack of support from enough states. Polling suggests that Maine residents generally support the current system of allocating electoral votes based on congressional district.
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