Algerians are gearing up to vote in a presidential election, but analysts predict that little will change as incumbent president Abdelmadjid Tebboune is expected to secure victory. Of the 15 candidates, only two were able to meet the minimum requirement of signatures to run, with Abdelaali Hassani Cherif and Youcef Aouchiche being the main challengers. Despite their candidacy, experts believe that neither candidate poses a real threat to Tebboune’s presidency.
Tebboune’s term has seen improvements in Algeria’s economy, with energy prices recovering and foreign currency flowing in. However, there are concerns about his lack of a strong mandate, with low voter turnout in his previous election in 2019. By moving the election date forward to September, Tebboune is seeking to minimize opposition campaigning during the hot summer months.
The Algerian president faces risks from within his own support base, particularly from factions within the army, which has played a crucial role in his presidency. The army’s backing is seen as essential to avoid a repeat of the Hirak protests that erupted in 2019 and resulted in widespread unrest. Tebboune’s administration has been criticized for cracking down on dissent, with hundreds of individuals arrested for their involvement in the protests.
As Algeria prepares for the upcoming election, concerns remain about potential rights abuses and the suppression of opposition voices. The outcome of the election will likely determine the direction of the country for the coming years, with Tebboune expected to continue his presidency focused on stability and succession without allowing another uprising like the Hirak to emerge again.
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