Former President Trump has lost his edge in Georgia and North Carolina, giving Vice President Kamala Harris a lead in the overall forecast for the first time. Debate watchers declared Harris as the winner of a recent debate, with polls showing her performance was better received than Trump’s. Despite this, the race remains tight, with six toss-up states worth a combined 78 electoral votes. Polling trends after previous debates in the Trump era show that modest shifts can have a significant impact in closely contested races.
While Trump’s support has remained steady over the past year, Harris has been gaining ground and is now polling just one point behind him in national surveys. In battleground states like Georgia and North Carolina, where Harris has made gains, the race is becoming increasingly competitive. Recent polls show Harris ahead of Trump in these states, indicating a shift away from the former president’s previous victories.
Harris also leads in the overall electoral vote forecast, with 241 votes compared to Trump’s 219. However, with 78 toss-up votes across six key battleground states, either candidate could still win the election. The outcome will depend on how these crucial toss-up states are decided on election night, where Harris is closer to the finish line but still faces a competitive race against Trump. With less than 8 weeks until the election, the race is heating up as both candidates vie for the remaining toss-up states and work to secure victory.
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