Senator Susan Collins’ upcoming reelection bid in 2026 is already gaining national attention and is expected to be a pivotal and expensive race. Despite being narrowly favored to win at the moment, the race is likely to be rated as a toss-up, according to a political forecaster. Both parties are predicted to spend $400 million to $600 million on the race for Collins’ seat, surpassing the record-breaking spending in the 2020 Senate race.
Collins, who plans to seek reelection, currently faces one declared challenger, independent candidate Phillip Rench. The race is seen as leaning Republican by political analysts, but the potential for a shift to a toss-up is anticipated due to Maine’s history of split ballots.
Collins’ reelection bid comes as the National Republican Senatorial Committee acknowledges the challenges she may face in holding onto her seat in 2026. Republicans are gearing up to defend battleground states like Maine, with expectations of substantial spending by both parties.
Despite potential challenges, Collins has a significant campaign war chest and a track record of surviving tough reelection campaigns. Her ability to navigate divisive issues has been noted, including her past impeachment vote against former President Trump. Mainers have shown a willingness to split their votes, making the contest in 2026 unpredictable.
As the race heats up, Governor Janet Mills is among the potential contenders eying a run against Collins. The stage is set for a high-stakes and closely watched Senate race in Maine.
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